Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

December 17, 2014   ·   OddsShark.com   ·   Jump to comments

The law of averages is catching up with the New Orleans Saints; after a run of 11 straight home victories, with a 9-1-1 record against the spread, the Saints are 0-4 both straight up and ATS the last four times they've played at the Superdome. But even at 6-8, New Orleans leads the NFC South, heading into a key home game with 5-9 Atlanta Sunday afternoon.
 
Point spread: Saints opened as 6.5-point favorites; the total was 55.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report).
 
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 25.7-21.3 Saints
 
Why the Falcons can cover the spread
The Falcons just lost at home to Pittsburgh, 27-20, but actually outgained the Steelers, 407-398, and outrushed them, 97-45. Atlanta held Pittsburgh running back Le'Veon Bell to just 47 yards on 20 carries, and 13 of those yards came on one play.
Two weeks ago, the Falcons picked up a back-door cover at Green Bay, a...

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