Mocking the Mocks: An Analysis of Kiper and McShay

May 3, 2010   ·     ·   Jump to comments

I listen to the podcasts. I subscribe to the RSS feeds. Simply, I can not get enough of the draft. When you consume sports, no matter how many side orders of blogs and podcasts you choose, ESPN is usually the main course. ESPN fronts its NFL draft with Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay. If you are anything like me, you have probably heard more from these guys over the last two weeks than your wife and boss combined.
But how good are they really? I got to wondering because in their March 10 mocks (version 3.0) they both were right that my Raiders' would draft Bruce Campbell of Maryland. However, both had it at the 8th pick, not the 106th pick and missed it by 4 rounds. Though that pick was adjusted in the final mocks (he was 59 in the Scouts Inc final mock), I spent a few weeks thinking the Raiders were doomed to yet another workout warrior to complement their other recent first rounders. I have sympathy for any job that deals in projections. I am responsible for capital pla...

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