NFL Draft 2011: Torrey Smith Will Not Be a Bust Like Darrius Heyward-Bey

March 5, 2011   ·     ·   Jump to comments

Torrey Smith is the first highly touted University of Maryland wide receiver to enter the National Football League draft since Darrius Heyward-Bey, who so far in his two year NFL career has contributed nothing but negative value to the Oakland Raiders (as measured by Football Outsiders' DYAR and DVOA).
However, NFL teams thinking of drafting Smith should not worry that having Smith on their rosters will involve a repeat performance of Heyward-Bey's struggles. This lack of concern should stem from the knowledge that Smith is a better wide receiver than Heyward-Bey due to the fact he was a more valuable wide receiver in college.

As I did in two previous articles, I measured value based on how Smith's quarterbacks fared once his statistics are removed from theirs compared to how they performed when his statistics were included in theirs.

For Smith's Maryland career, once his statistics were removed from his quarterbacks', the quarterbacks experienced a 2.6 percent decre...

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