Jaguars vs. Broncos: What Do the Numbers Say About Vegas’ Biggest Mismatch?

October 9, 2013   ·   Gary Davenport   ·   Jump to comments

People have been gambling on football, well, since there was football. However, never before have we seen what's happening in the lead-up to the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Denver Broncos in Week 6.
As Josh Katzowitz of CBS Sports reports, the oddsmakers in Las Vegas have installed the Jaguars as 28-point underdogs, the largest point spread in the history of the National Football League.
It's not hard to understand why the spread is large. After all, the Broncos are 5-0 and arguably the NFL's best team. The Jaguars, at 0-5, are arguably the worst.
Is there really such a wide gap between the two, though? Is this game such a lopsided affair that it warrants the largest spread ever?
Well, from a glance at the offensive statistics, yes.
As you can see, the Broncos are averaging over 30 points a game more than the Jaguars through five weeks. Jacksonville's 20 points in last week's loss to St. Louis was a season high.
The Broncos, meanwhi...

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