Will Von Miller Lose Value If He Sits out the 2016 NFL Season?

July 12, 2016   ·     ·   Jump to comments

The simple, yet complicated, question regarding Von Miller's negotiations with the Denver Broncos comes down to this: Is Miller better off gambling by sitting out a season or taking the one-year, $14.1 million franchise-tag offer if he and the Broncos can't work out a long-term deal by July 15?
Based on the history of players who have either held out or missed a significant portion of the previous season, Miller would be better off sitting than playing.
The value of great players does not decrease when they miss time. If anything, their value increases. There are 13 strong examples of that, starting with the biggest of all holdouts by then-Washington defensive tackle Sean Gilbert in 1997.
At the time, Washington had declared Gilbert its franchise player for one year at $3.5 million and offered him a four-year, $13 million deal. Gilbert balked at both offers and sat out the entire 1997 season.
Gilbert was warned by management, teammates, fans and even the media that ...

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